It depends, of course, when you mean by "used to be". Figures produced by Opta and Castrol Performance Analysts suggest the impact of red cards has changed only a little over the past 20 years. In the Premier League between 1992 and 2000, for instance, a side that was drawing when they had a man sent off went on to win the game 11.8% of the time if the red card happened in the first hour, 3.7% if it happened between 60 and 80 minutes, and 4.5% if it happened after 80 minutes. Looking at the top divisions in England, Spain, Italy, Germany and France since the start of 2006-07, those figures are 13.4% for up to an hour, 8.1% for 60-80 minutes and 4.9% for after 80 minutes.
Between 1992 and 2000 in the Premier League, teams losing when they had a man sent off went on to draw or win 11.1% of the time if the red card happened before the hour, 5.9% if it happened between 60 and 80 minutes, and 4.8% if it came after 80 minutes; in the top five European leagues since the start of 2006-07, the figures are 11.5% for a red card in the first hour; 11.4% for a red card between 60 and 80 minutes; and 2.7% for a card after 80 minutes. So there is a slight but distinct trend suggesting having a man sent off is no longer quite such a negative as it was.
|
|
Matches |
Perc. |
W |
D |
L |
Goals |
Pts |
Avg Pts |
|
4 out of 38 |
10.5% |
2 |
1 |
1 |
6 – 4 |
7 |
1.75 |
|
|
9 out of 38 |
23.7% |
2 |
1 |
6 |
13 – 22 |
7 |
0.78 |
|
|
6 out of 38 |
15.8% |
1 |
1 |
4 |
6 – 11 |
4 |
0.67 |
|
|
13 out of 38 |
34.2% |
2 |
2 |
9 |
12 – 27 |
8 |
0.62 |
|
|
20 out of 38 |
52.6% |
1 |
7 |
12 |
17 – 38 |
10 |
0.50 |
|
|
11 out of 38 |
28.9% |
1 |
2 |
8 |
8 – 31 |
5 |
0.45 |
|
|
9 out of 38 |
23.7% |
0 |
4 |
5 |
10 – 27 |
4 |
0.44 |
|
|
19 out of 38 |
50.0% |
1 |
4 |
14 |
13 – 46 |
7 |
0.37 |
|
|
9 out of 38 |
23.7% |
0 |
3 |
6 |
8 – 20 |
3 |
0.33 |
|
|
12 out of 38 |
31.6% |
0 |
4 |
8 |
12 – 27 |
4 |
0.33 |
|
|
9 out of 38 |
23.7% |
1 |
0 |
8 |
3 – 18 |
3 |
0.33 |
|
|
12 out of 38 |
31.6% |
1 |
1 |
10 |
10 – 31 |
4 |
0.33 |
|
|
13 out of 38 |
34.2% |
1 |
0 |
12 |
8 – 32 |
3 |
0.23 |
|
|
17 out of 38 |
44.7% |
0 |
3 |
14 |
16 – 41 |
3 |
0.18 |
|
|
17 out of 38 |
44.7% |
1 |
0 |
16 |
12 – 48 |
3 |
0.18 |
|
|
12 out of 38 |
31.6% |
0 |
2 |
10 |
7 – 26 |
2 |
0.17 |
|
|
11 out of 38 |
28.9% |
0 |
1 |
10 |
7 – 26 |
1 |
0.09 |
|
|
11 out of 38 |
28.9% |
0 |
1 |
10 |
10 – 38 |
1 |
0.09 |
|
|
4 out of 38 |
10.5% |
0 |
0 |
4 |
3 – 7 |
0 |
0.00 |
|
|
13 out of 38 |
34.2% |
0 |
0 |
13 |
3 – 39 |
0 |
0.00 |
218 games when team losing at first half
In 12 games teams which losing first half win at the end (5,5%)
In 36 games teams which losing first half take one point or draw (16,5%)
In 170 games teams which losing first half lose the game at end (78%)
|
|
Matches |
Perc. |
W |
D |
L |
Goals |
Pts |
Avg Pts |
|
10 out of 38 |
26.3% |
5 |
1 |
4 |
16 – 13 |
16 |
1.60 |
|
|
7 out of 38 |
18.4% |
3 |
0 |
4 |
11 – 11 |
9 |
1.29 |
|
|
10 out of 38 |
26.3% |
3 |
3 |
4 |
18 – 20 |
12 |
1.20 |
|
|
18 out of 38 |
47.4% |
5 |
2 |
11 |
20 – 44 |
17 |
0.94 |
|
|
12 out of 38 |
31.6% |
2 |
4 |
6 |
14 – 22 |
10 |
0.83 |
|
|
12 out of 38 |
31.6% |
2 |
4 |
6 |
16 – 30 |
10 |
0.83 |
|
|
19 out of 38 |
50.0% |
4 |
3 |
12 |
22 – 36 |
15 |
0.79 |
|
|
18 out of 38 |
47.4% |
4 |
2 |
12 |
19 – 33 |
14 |
0.78 |
|
|
22 out of 38 |
57.9% |
4 |
1 |
17 |
22 – 45 |
13 |
0.59 |
|
|
25 out of 38 |
65.8% |
1 |
9 |
15 |
21 – 45 |
12 |
0.48 |
|
|
25 out of 38 |
65.8% |
2 |
4 |
19 |
17 – 58 |
10 |
0.40 |
|
|
13 out of 38 |
34.2% |
0 |
5 |
8 |
9 – 24 |
5 |
0.38 |
|
|
26 out of 38 |
68.4% |
3 |
1 |
22 |
23 – 73 |
10 |
0.38 |
|
|
22 out of 38 |
57.9% |
1 |
4 |
17 |
19 – 43 |
7 |
0.32 |
|
|
20 out of 38 |
52.6% |
1 |
3 |
16 |
15 – 44 |
6 |
0.30 |
|
|
15 out of 38 |
39.5% |
1 |
0 |
14 |
8 – 29 |
3 |
0.20 |
|
|
20 out of 38 |
52.6% |
1 |
1 |
18 |
12 – 50 |
4 |
0.20 |
|
|
22 out of 38 |
57.9% |
1 |
1 |
20 |
11 – 45 |
4 |
0.18 |
|
|
17 out of 38 |
44.7% |
1 |
0 |
16 |
8 – 43 |
3 |
0.18 |
|
|
20 out of 38 |
52.6% |
0 |
3 |
17 |
7 – 36 |
3 |
0.15 |
When opponent scores first:
353 all games
258 from 353 games are lost after opponent scores first (73,1%)
47 games from 345 are draw after opponent scores first (13,3%)
44 games from 353 are wins after opponent scores first ( 12,5%)
CONCLUSION:
Take a red card and save a (possible) first goal!!!!
|
|
Red card and save a goal |
Opponent score first |
|
Lost |
11,5 % before 60 minut |
73% |
|
Draw |
|
13% |
|
Win |
|
12% |
FIRST GOAL IS MORE IMPORTANT FACTOR OF WINNING (OR LOSING) A GAME THAN PLAYING A GAME WITH ONE PLAYER LESS IN THE FIELD!!!!
