Red card for preventing a goal situation

 

It depends, of course, when you mean by "used to be". Figures produced by Opta and Castrol Performance Analysts suggest the impact of red cards has changed only a little over the past 20 years. In the Premier League between 1992 and 2000, for instance, a side that was drawing when they had a man sent off went on to win the game 11.8% of the time if the red card happened in the first hour, 3.7% if it happened between 60 and 80 minutes, and 4.5% if it happened after 80 minutes. Looking at the top divisions in England, Spain, Italy, Germany and France since the start of 2006-07, those figures are 13.4% for up to an hour, 8.1% for 60-80 minutes and 4.9% for after 80 minutes.

Between 1992 and 2000 in the Premier League, teams losing when they had a man sent off went on to draw or win 11.1% of the time if the red card happened before the hour, 5.9% if it happened between 60 and 80 minutes, and 4.8% if it came after 80 minutes; in the top five European leagues since the start of 2006-07, the figures are 11.5% for a red card in the first hour; 11.4% for a red card between 60 and 80 minutes; and 2.7% for a card after 80 minutes. So there is a slight but distinct trend suggesting having a man sent off is no longer quite such a negative as it was.

 

 

Matches

Perc.

W

D

L

Goals

Pts

Avg Pts

 Chelsea 

4 out of 38

10.5%

2

1

1

6 – 4

7

1.75

 Everton 

9 out of 38

23.7%

2

1

6

13 – 22

7

0.78

 Liverpool 

6 out of 38

15.8%

1

1

4

6 – 11

4

0.67

 Manchester Utd 

13 out of 38

34.2%

2

2

9

12 – 27

8

0.62

 West Bromwich 

20 out of 38

52.6%

1

7

12

17 – 38

10

0.50

 Tottenham 

11 out of 38

28.9%

1

2

8

8 – 31

5

0.45

 Arsenal 

9 out of 38

23.7%

0

4

5

10 – 27

4

0.44

 Cardiff City 

19 out of 38

50.0%

1

4

14

13 – 46

7

0.37

 Southampton 

9 out of 38

23.7%

0

3

6

8 – 20

3

0.33

 Swansea City 

12 out of 38

31.6%

0

4

8

12 – 27

4

0.33

 Stoke City 

9 out of 38

23.7%

1

0

8

3 – 18

3

0.33

 Aston Villa 

12 out of 38

31.6%

1

1

10

10 – 31

4

0.33

 Hull City 

13 out of 38

34.2%

1

0

12

8 – 32

3

0.23

 Sunderland 

17 out of 38

44.7%

0

3

14

16 – 41

3

0.18

 Norwich City 

17 out of 38

44.7%

1

0

16

12 – 48

3

0.18

 Crystal Palace 

12 out of 38

31.6%

0

2

10

7 – 26

2

0.17

 West Ham Utd 

11 out of 38

28.9%

0

1

10

7 – 26

1

0.09

 Fulham 

11 out of 38

28.9%

0

1

10

10 – 38

1

0.09

 Manchester City 

4 out of 38

10.5%

0

0

4

3 – 7

0

0.00

 Newcastle Utd 

13 out of 38

34.2%

0

0

13

3 – 39

0

0.00

 

218 games when team losing at first half

In 12 games teams which losing first half win at the end (5,5%)

In 36 games teams which losing first half take one point or draw (16,5%)

In 170 games teams which losing first half lose the game at end (78%)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Matches

Perc.

W

D

L

Goals

Pts

Avg Pts

 Chelsea 

10 out of 38

26.3%

5

1

4

16 – 13

16

1.60

 Manchester City 

7 out of 38

18.4%

3

0

4

11 – 11

9

1.29

 Liverpool 

10 out of 38

26.3%

3

3

4

18 – 20

12

1.20

 Tottenham 

18 out of 38

47.4%

5

2

11

20 – 44

17

0.94

 Everton 

12 out of 38

31.6%

2

4

6

14 – 22

10

0.83

 Arsenal 

12 out of 38

31.6%

2

4

6

16 – 30

10

0.83

 Manchester Utd 

19 out of 38

50.0%

4

3

12

22 – 36

15

0.79

 Stoke City 

18 out of 38

47.4%

4

2

12

19 – 33

14

0.78

 Aston Villa 

22 out of 38

57.9%

4

1

17

22 – 45

13

0.59

 West Bromwich 

25 out of 38

65.8%

1

9

15

21 – 45

12

0.48

 Cardiff City 

25 out of 38

65.8%

2

4

19

17 – 58

10

0.40

 Southampton 

13 out of 38

34.2%

0

5

8

9 – 24

5

0.38

 Fulham 

26 out of 38

68.4%

3

1

22

23 – 73

10

0.38

 Swansea City 

22 out of 38

57.9%

1

4

17

19 – 43

7

0.32

 Sunderland 

20 out of 38

52.6%

1

3

16

15 – 44

6

0.30

 West Ham Utd 

15 out of 38

39.5%

1

0

14

8 – 29

3

0.20

 Norwich City 

20 out of 38

52.6%

1

1

18

12 – 50

4

0.20

 Hull City 

22 out of 38

57.9%

1

1

20

11 – 45

4

0.18

 Newcastle Utd 

17 out of 38

44.7%

1

0

16

8 – 43

3

0.18

 Crystal Palace 

20 out of 38

52.6%

0

3

17

7 – 36

3

0.15

When opponent scores first:

353 all games

258 from 353 games are lost after opponent scores first (73,1%)

47 games from 345 are draw after opponent scores first (13,3%)

44 games from 353 are wins after opponent scores first ( 12,5%)

 

CONCLUSION:

Take a red card and save a (possible) first goal!!!!

 

Red card and save a goal

Opponent score first

Lost

11,5 % before 60 minut

73%

Draw

 

13%

Win

 

12%

 

FIRST GOAL IS MORE IMPORTANT FACTOR OF WINNING (OR LOSING) A GAME THAN PLAYING A GAME WITH ONE PLAYER LESS IN THE FIELD!!!!